Backtesting Engine: Test Your AI Strategies Against History
This section explains the AI Hedge Fund platform’s powerful Backtesting Engine. This core component allows you to rigorously test your AI-driven investment strategies against historical market data, providing a clear picture of how they would have performed in the past—all without risking any real capital.
The Core Value: From Strategy to Performance Report
The Backtesting Engine transforms your visually designed strategy into a detailed performance analysis. It bridges the gap between an investment idea and a quantitative assessment of its viability. By simulating trades over a specified historical period, it answers the critical question: “Would this strategy actually have worked?”
How It Works: A Day-by-Day Market Simulation
The backtesting process is a meticulous, step-by-step simulation of your strategy’s execution against past market conditions.
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Define Your Test Environment: You begin by setting the parameters for the simulation. This includes:
- The AI Strategy: The exact visual workflow you designed, with all your chosen agents and their connections.
- The Assets: The specific stocks (tickers) you want the strategy to trade.
- The Time Period: A defined start and end date for the historical analysis.
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Iterating Through History: The engine retrieves the historical market data (prices, volume, etc.) for your chosen assets and time period. It then moves forward one day at a time.
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Daily AI Decision-Making: For each day in the simulation, the engine feeds that day’s market data into your AI strategy. Your entire multi-agent workflow runs, from data analysis to risk management, culminating in a final decision from the Portfolio Manager agent (e.g., “BUY 10 shares of AAPL,” “SELL 5 shares of MSFT,” or “HOLD”).
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Simulating Trades and Managing a Virtual Portfolio: The engine acts on the AI’s decision. It executes the simulated trade based on that day’s closing price and updates a virtual portfolio. This includes:
- Adjusting the virtual cash balance.
- Updating the number of shares held for each asset.
- Continuously tracking the total value of the virtual portfolio.
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Generating the Final Report: After simulating every day in the specified period, the engine aggregates all the data and generates a comprehensive performance report.
Key Performance Metrics: Understanding the Results
The final output is not just a simple profit or loss number. The engine provides a suite of standard financial metrics to give you a deep understanding of your strategy’s performance, risk, and efficiency. These include:
- Final Portfolio Value: The total value of your assets and cash at the end of the simulation.
- Total Return (%): The overall percentage gain or loss of the portfolio over the entire period.
- Annualized Return (%): The average yearly return generated by the strategy.
- Sharpe Ratio: A crucial measure of risk-adjusted return. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better performance for the amount of risk taken.
- Max Drawdown (%): The largest peak-to-trough decline in portfolio value, indicating the biggest loss experienced during the period. This is a key measure of risk.
- Volatility (%): Measures how much the portfolio’s value fluctuates. Higher volatility means higher risk.
These metrics allow you to objectively compare different strategies and understand their true historical behavior.
Related Code Files
Feature/Responsibility | Code File | Purpose and Implementation Details |
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Core Backtesting Logic (CLI) | src/backtester.py | Implements the primary, command-line-based backtesting functionality, iterating through historical data and simulating trades based on agent signals. |
Backtesting API Service | app/backend/services/backtest_service.py | Provides the backend API endpoint for running backtests initiated from the web application, orchestrating the simulation and returning results. |
Frontend API Client | app/frontend/src/services/backtest-api.ts | The client-side service that communicates with the backend API to start backtests and fetch the resulting performance data. |
Results Visualization | app/frontend/src/components/panels/bottom/tabs/backtest-output.tsx | The React component responsible for rendering the backtest performance metrics and charts in the user interface. |