ai-hedge-fundCore ConceptsBacktesting Engine

Backtesting Engine: Test Your AI Strategies Against History

This section explains the AI Hedge Fund platform’s powerful Backtesting Engine. This core component allows you to rigorously test your AI-driven investment strategies against historical market data, providing a clear picture of how they would have performed in the past—all without risking any real capital.

The Core Value: From Strategy to Performance Report

The Backtesting Engine transforms your visually designed strategy into a detailed performance analysis. It bridges the gap between an investment idea and a quantitative assessment of its viability. By simulating trades over a specified historical period, it answers the critical question: “Would this strategy actually have worked?”

How It Works: A Day-by-Day Market Simulation

The backtesting process is a meticulous, step-by-step simulation of your strategy’s execution against past market conditions.

  1. Define Your Test Environment: You begin by setting the parameters for the simulation. This includes:

    • The AI Strategy: The exact visual workflow you designed, with all your chosen agents and their connections.
    • The Assets: The specific stocks (tickers) you want the strategy to trade.
    • The Time Period: A defined start and end date for the historical analysis.
  2. Iterating Through History: The engine retrieves the historical market data (prices, volume, etc.) for your chosen assets and time period. It then moves forward one day at a time.

  3. Daily AI Decision-Making: For each day in the simulation, the engine feeds that day’s market data into your AI strategy. Your entire multi-agent workflow runs, from data analysis to risk management, culminating in a final decision from the Portfolio Manager agent (e.g., “BUY 10 shares of AAPL,” “SELL 5 shares of MSFT,” or “HOLD”).

  4. Simulating Trades and Managing a Virtual Portfolio: The engine acts on the AI’s decision. It executes the simulated trade based on that day’s closing price and updates a virtual portfolio. This includes:

    • Adjusting the virtual cash balance.
    • Updating the number of shares held for each asset.
    • Continuously tracking the total value of the virtual portfolio.
  5. Generating the Final Report: After simulating every day in the specified period, the engine aggregates all the data and generates a comprehensive performance report.

Key Performance Metrics: Understanding the Results

The final output is not just a simple profit or loss number. The engine provides a suite of standard financial metrics to give you a deep understanding of your strategy’s performance, risk, and efficiency. These include:

  • Final Portfolio Value: The total value of your assets and cash at the end of the simulation.
  • Total Return (%): The overall percentage gain or loss of the portfolio over the entire period.
  • Annualized Return (%): The average yearly return generated by the strategy.
  • Sharpe Ratio: A crucial measure of risk-adjusted return. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better performance for the amount of risk taken.
  • Max Drawdown (%): The largest peak-to-trough decline in portfolio value, indicating the biggest loss experienced during the period. This is a key measure of risk.
  • Volatility (%): Measures how much the portfolio’s value fluctuates. Higher volatility means higher risk.

These metrics allow you to objectively compare different strategies and understand their true historical behavior.

Feature/ResponsibilityCode FilePurpose and Implementation Details
Core Backtesting Logic (CLI)src/backtester.pyImplements the primary, command-line-based backtesting functionality, iterating through historical data and simulating trades based on agent signals.
Backtesting API Serviceapp/backend/services/backtest_service.pyProvides the backend API endpoint for running backtests initiated from the web application, orchestrating the simulation and returning results.
Frontend API Clientapp/frontend/src/services/backtest-api.tsThe client-side service that communicates with the backend API to start backtests and fetch the resulting performance data.
Results Visualizationapp/frontend/src/components/panels/bottom/tabs/backtest-output.tsxThe React component responsible for rendering the backtest performance metrics and charts in the user interface.